Commodities Buzz: Global commodity prices expected to slide 7% in 2026

World Bank has stated in a latest update that subdued economic activity?including slowing growth in China?and fading front-loading of commodities trade are expected to weigh on demand for energy and industrial commodities in 2026. Commodity prices are projected to decline by 7 percent in 2026, matching the decline in 2025, yet remain about 20 percent above their 2015?19 nominal average. In 2027, commodity prices are expected to edge up 4 percent, reflecting supply rebalancing in the oil market as the decline in prices in 2026 curtails production in the following year. Relative to the June forecast, commodity prices are slightly higher owing to a less pronounced impact of tariffs on economic activity than initially envisaged.

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