Kharif sowing is likely to witness a boost at the start following expectations of robust rainfall. The India Meteorological Department (IMD), under the Ministry of Earth Sciences, has issued its updated Long-Range Forecast for the 2025 Southwest Monsoon season (June?September) along with the Monthly Rainfall and Temperature Outlook for June 2025. According to the forecast, the seasonal rainfall across the country as a whole is likely to be 106% of the Long Period Average (LPA), with a model error of ?4%, indicating a high probability of above-normal rainfall during the monsoon season. From June to September 2025, most regions of the country are expected to experience normal to above-normal rainfall, except for parts of Northwest and East India, as well as many areas in Northeast India, which are likely to witness below-normal rainfall. Specifically for June 2025, the countrywide rainfall is projected to be above normal (>108% of LPA). While most areas are likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall, certain southern parts of the Peninsular region, and parts of Northwest and Northeast India, are expected to have below-normal rainfall.
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